EN
Topbar Menu Icon 1Help Centre
Topbar Menu Icon 2Contact Us
Company Logo
Trading
Our Markets
  • Forex
  • Commodities
  • Metals
  • Stocks
  • Indices
  • Cryptocurrencies
  • Futures
  • ETFs
  • Crosses
Our Accounts
  • Advantage
  • Advantage Plus
  • Advantage Stocks
  • Practice
Our Platforms
  • Desktop
  • Mobile App
  • MetaTrader 4
  • MetaTrader 5
Terms
  • Fees
  • Deposits and Withdrawals
  • Dividends Calendar
  • Contract Specifications
  • Leverage and Margin
Tools & Analysis
Market Analysis
  • Economic Events
  • Meet the Team
Tools
  • Pip Calculator
  • Profit Calculator
  • Currency Converter
  • Economic Calendar
  • Trading Schedule
  • Advanced Charts
Rewards & Promos
FXTM Rewards
    Promotions
    • Refer a Friend
    Learn
    Learn to Trade
    • Webinars
    Popular Guides
    • Forex Trading for Beginners
    • CFD Trading for Beginners
    About
    About Us
    • Fund Safety
    • Blog
    Partners
    • Affiliates
    Terms and Conditions

      Iran Crisis: From air to land…

      Iran Crisis: From air to land…
      1. Edge Account
      2. Market Analysis
      3. Iran Crisis: From air to land…
      • US prepares for possible land assault
      • Mixed messages and disruptions around the Hormuz adding to volatility
      • US NFP remains major risk event for week
      • USDJPY lingers near the intervention danger zone


      Over the weekend, Iran accused the US of preparing for a possible land assault even as Trump sought talks to end the conflict.


      This marked another dangerous turning point in the Iran war which, has entered its fifth week.


      Also on Sunday, Iran threatened to target American and Israeli universities in the Middle East as part of its war effort.


      These unfavourable developments cast a shadow over Pakistan’s hopes for hosting peace talks between both sides.


      Given the mixed messages from Trump about when the war could end, this could lead to more volatility as traders scramble to price the uncertainty.


      FX: USDJPY flirts around “danger zones”


      DID YOU KNOW:

      Last Friday, USDJPY crossed above 160 for the first time since July 2024…


      WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?

      Back in 2024, this level was defended twice by the Japanese government –

      • First intervention (Late April/Early May 2024)
      • Second Intervention (July 2024)


      If history repeats itself and an intervention becomes reality, this could trigger an aggressive selloff on the USDJPY pair.

       

      WHAT COULD MOVE USDJPY THIS WEEK?

      The Iran conflict may fuel risk aversion, stimulating appetite for safe-haven assets like the Yen. 

      Note: Japan imports 90% of its crude from the Middle East.

      Oil price volatility may also influence the Japanese Yen –

      • Japan sells Yen to buy dollar-denominated oil
      • This could translate to cost-push inflation
      • Rising inflation puts the BoJ in a tight spot – hike to tame inflation/cut to support growth.


      POTENTIAL SCENARIOS:

      BULLISH: Another solid daily close above 160.00 may encourage an incline toward 161.00 and 162.00.

      BEARISH: Weakness below 159.50 could see prices slip toward 158.00.

      Trump
      Social Media Icon 1Social Media Icon 2

      Our offering

      • Markets
      • Accounts
      • Platforms
      • Tools
      • Trading terms

      Popular markets

      • Forex
      • Commodities
      • Metals

      Trading

      • Mobile App
      • MetaTrader 4
      • Metatrader 5

      Learn

      • Learn to trade

      Company

      • About us
      • Blog
      • Partners
      • Affiliates
      • Terms and Conditions

      Exinity Limited, with registration number C119470 C1/GBL and registration address at 5th Floor, NEX Tower, Rue du Savoir, Cybercity, 72201 Ebene, Republic of Mauritius is regulated by the Financial Services Commission of the Republic of Mauritius with an Investment Dealer License with license number C113012295, licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) of South Africa, with FSP No. 50320 and is a licensed Over the Counter Derivative Provider. Exinity Works (CY) Ltd, with registration number HE 351684 and registered address Agiou Athanasiou 30, Ksenos Building, Floors 2-5, Agios Athanasios, Limassol, 4102, Cyprus. Exinity Works (CY) Ltd does not engage in any regulated financial or investment activities.

      Risk Warning: Trading Leveraged Financial instruments involves significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. You should not invest more than you can afford to lose and should ensure that you fully understand the risks involved. Trading leveraged products may not be suitable for all investors. The value of shares can fall as well as rise, which could mean getting back less than you originally put in. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Before trading, take into consideration your level of experience, investment objectives and seek independent financial advice if necessary. It is the responsibility of the client to ascertain whether they are permitted to use the services of Exinity brand based on the legal requirements in their country of residence.

      Please read our full Risk Disclosure.

      Regional restrictions Exinity Limited does not provide services to residents of the USA, Mauritius, Japan, Canada, Haiti, Iran, Suriname, the Democratic People's Republic of Korea, Puerto Rico, the Occupied Area of Cyprus, Quebec, Iraq, Syria, Cuba, Belarus, Myanmar, Russia, India and the United Kingdom.

      logo
      We value your privacy
      We use cookies to give you the best-possible experience on our site and serve you personalised content. Click "Sounds good" to agree to our Cookie Policy.
      Sounds good