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      Stalled talks, assassination attempt & Iran offer

      Stalled talks, assassination attempt & Iran offer
      1. Edge Account
      2. Market Analysis
      3. Stalled talks, assassination attempt & Iran offer
      • Markets rise on reports on Iran offer to re-open reopen the Strait
      • Some fatigue building on constant back and forth
      • Big tech faces big test amid rising AI expenditure
      • NAS100 hits fresh all-time highs, gaining 15% month-to-date


      Recent developments have sent investors on an emotional rollercoaster…


      • Over the weekend, Trump cancelled peace talks with Iran in Pakistan
      • On Saturday evening, he was the target of another assassination attempt


      Now there are fresh reports that Iran has offered the US a proposal to re-open the Strait of Hormuz!


      And in response - European/US equity markets are flashing green, but oil benchmarks have offered a muted response.


      This could be a classic case of market fatigue given how all the positive announcements in the past have led to disappointment.


      Nevertheless, this cautious optimism may keep US equities near record levels ahead of another BIG WEEK for markets.



      NAS100 – Big tech set for big gains?


      DID YOU KNOW…

      FXTM’s NAS100 hit a fresh all-time high at 27342 last Friday, pushing April’s gains to 15%.


      CAN US EQUITY BULLS MAINTAIN GAINS?

      Ongoing geopolitical risk could create some headwinds down the road…

      But a solid set of earnings from the biggest companies in the world may keep the bull party alive.

      Five of the so-called “Magnificent” 7 tech giants with a combined market cap of almost $16 trillion are set to publish their results in the week ahead.

       

      The combined weight of Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft and Apple makes up over 40% of the NAS100 weight!!!


      Note: Alphabet, Amazon, Meta Platforms and Microsoft have a combined AI expenditure of $650 billion this year. They face rising margin and cost pressures that have been magnified by the war in Iran.


      Nevertheless, whatever the outcome of the earnings - it may translate to massive price swings.

       

      POTENTIAL SCENARIOS:


      • BULLISH – A solid set of results and optimistic forward guidance from tech titans may propel the NAS100 higher. A strong move above 27500 could open a path toward 28000.

       

      • BEARISH – Should results disappoint and concerns be expressed about the earnings outlook, the NAS100 could fall. Weakness below 27500 could signal a decline back toward 26850. 

      Earnings
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      Exinity Limited, with registration number C119470 C1/GBL and registration address at 5th Floor, NEX Tower, Rue du Savoir, Cybercity, 72201 Ebene, Republic of Mauritius is regulated by the Financial Services Commission of the Republic of Mauritius with an Investment Dealer License with license number C113012295, licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) of South Africa, with FSP No. 50320 and is a licensed Over the Counter Derivative Provider. Exinity Works (CY) Ltd, with registration number HE 351684 and registered address Agiou Athanasiou 30, Ksenos Building, Floors 2-5, Agios Athanasios, Limassol, 4102, Cyprus. Exinity Works (CY) Ltd does not engage in any regulated financial or investment activities.

      Risk Warning: Trading Leveraged Financial instruments involves significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. You should not invest more than you can afford to lose and should ensure that you fully understand the risks involved. Trading leveraged products may not be suitable for all investors. The value of shares can fall as well as rise, which could mean getting back less than you originally put in. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Before trading, take into consideration your level of experience, investment objectives and seek independent financial advice if necessary. It is the responsibility of the client to ascertain whether they are permitted to use the services of Exinity brand based on the legal requirements in their country of residence.

      Please read our full Risk Disclosure.

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