Gold: Mind the gap…

  • Gold gaps higher on geopolitical tension
  • Market caution may keep metal buoyed
  • Watch out for US CPI report on Thursday
  • Failure to close gap may see prices test 21-EMA
  • Keep eye on $1885 level 

Friday’s post-NFP price action saw gold bounce off levels not seen since March 2023 at $1810, to post its first bullish candlestick since September 19th.

Gold risk aversion EMA Israel Rates inflation

Trade Of The Week: Oil surges on Middle East tensions

  • Oil surges over 5% on geopolitical uncertainty
  • Middle East tensions fuel concerns over crude supplies
  • Keep eye on OPEC/EIA monthly report
  • Brent gaps higher but still under pressure on D1 chart
  • Keep eye on $89.70 dynamic resistance level 

Oil prices were in sharp focus on Monday after surging on geopolitical tensions following the weekend attack on Israel.

Brent Oil OPEC Middle East Israel MACD

Week Ahead: SPX500_m primed for heavy event week

  • Big week for SPX500_m thanks to host of key risk events
  • Watch out for US CPI, Fed speeches & big bank earnings
  • SPX500_m bearish but RSI flirting around oversold territory
  • Fresh fundamental spark could trigger big move
  • Keep eye on strong support above 200-day SMA

Even as the countdown looms to the highly anticipate

SPX500_m Markets Earnings JPMorgan inflation Federal Reserve MACD

USDInd: Can dollar bulls sustain momentum?

  • USDInd textbook uptrend approaches weekly resistance
     
  • 4 potential targets, if uptrend persists
     
  • Warning: Bearish divergence spotted
US Dollar fx indices Technical Analysis US jobs report

Explainer: What happened with USDJPY?

  • Strong US JOLTS data pushes USDJPY beyond 150.00
  • Currency pair later experiences aggressive selloff
  • Weak yen supporting speculation of government intervention
  • However, market still guessing what triggered spike in yen 
  • USDJPY remains bullish with 150 key level of interest

Investors were in a frenzy on Tuesday after the USDJPY collapsed almost 300 pips in a matter of minutes.

USDJPY BoJ Rates inflation SMA MACD

Bitcoin: Technical analysis favours more gains

  • Bitcoin pulls back after soaring to 6-week high
     
  • Prices broke beyond neckline of “inverse head-and-shoulders”
     
  • $30k handle could be attained if pattern plays out
     
  • ADX, RSI indicators also suggest more immediate headroom
Cryptocurrency Bitcoin Technical Analysis

Trade Of The Week: AUDNZD enters breakout mode

  • AUDNZD has kicked of Q4 breaching 1.0720 support
  • Antipodean central bank decisions could move AUDNZD further
  • Neither RBA nor RBNZ expected to raise interest rates
  • However, fresh insight on future policy moves could spark volatility
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI) flirting near oversold territory

A central bank mashup featuring the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) could trigger a significant move in the AUDNZD this week.

audnzd Aussie Kiwi RBA RBNZ USD Rates inflation SMA

Week Ahead: Gold set for more explosive volatility

If you thought the last few days were explosive for gold prices, then wait until you see what next week has in store!

Gold Rates inflation Federal Reserve Powell US government shutdown SMA

How markets might react to a US government shutdown?

  • US government shutdown may further slow economic momentum

  • Fed could be prevented from one last rate hike

  • Market reaction from 2018 shutdown may repeat itself

  • US dollar may weaken, but not much

  • Gold, US stock indexes could recover

US government shutdown Federal Reserve rate hikes Recession USD Gold indices Stocks

Mid-Week Technical Outlook: Indices

  • Market stabilize after sharp selloff in previous session
  • SPX500_m could test 200-day SMA
  • NQ100_m breaks key daily support
  • STOX50_m wobbles above 4100
  • UK100_m trapped in wide range 

Some semblance of stability returned to global equity markets on Wednesday as rate hike fears cooled after a sharp selloff in the previous session.

SPX500_m NQ100m uk100 STOX50 MACD Rates
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