Week Ahead: 3 assets that may hit new highs – Bitcoin, GBPUSD, and US500 index

  • Mon, May 26th: US, UK markets closed
     
  • Tue, May 27th: Positive signals out of Bitcoin 2025 conference may send Bitcoin to fresh record highs

Bitcoin hits new record high! What’s next?

  • Today, Bitcoin briefly spiked above $111,900 for the first time ever
     
  • Bitcoin's market cap almost US$2.2 trillion; bigger than Amazon's US$2.14 trillion market cap
     
  • Bitcoin soaring on US stablecoin bill optimism, recent risk-on sentiment
     
  • “Golden cross” could send another bullish signal to traders
     
  • Options market show large bets on $120k - $300k BTC by June 27th

 

Cryptocurrency Bitcoin Trump risk sentiment

Target to sink back to 5-year lows after today’s earnings?

  • Target set to release earnings before US markets open today (Wed, May 21st)
     
  • US tariff fears expected to hit results for Q1 FY2026 (3 months ending April 30th)
     
  • Comparable sales forecasted to fall 1.8% year-on-year; EPS to drop over 18% y/y
     
  • Post-earnings, 1-day move predicted at 9.3% up/down for Target shares today
Target Tariffs consumer price index retail sales Earnings Stocks stock trading stock cfds

Week Ahead: US500 bulls set to charge 6000?

  • FXTM’s US500 ↑ 23% from 2025 low

  • Index has gained over 6% this month, less than 4% away from ATH

  • Fed Speeches + US data = fresh volatility?

  • US Global PMIs triggered moves of ↑ 0.8% & ↓ 2.4% over past year

  • Technical levels: 6000, 5900 & 200-day SMA 

US500 Federal Reserve PMI Week Ahead

Alibaba earnings preview: Will strong results open path back to 2025 high?

  • US-listed Alibaba shares ↑ 55% year-to-date

  • Company to release fiscal Q4 earnings before US markets open Thursday, May 15th

  • All eyes on AI/Cloud segment and tariff impact

  • Alibaba share price forecasted to move 5.2% up/down post earnings 

  • Wall Street 12-month target price is 25% away from current prices

Alibaba China Earnings

Markets rally on 90-day US-China trade truce

  • Risk-on returns on China-US trade truce 

  • Both sides announce 115% reduction in tariffs for 90-days 

  • Global equities, USDInd, Bitcoin and Oil rally 

  • Gold tumbles almost 3%, JPY & CHF weaken 

  • US500: US CPI sparked moves of ↑ 0.9% & ↓ 2.0% over past year

China Trump trade war US500 Gold

Week Ahead: Dollar ready to flex its muscles?

  • FXTM’s USDInd ↑ 2.5% from 2025 low 

  • US-China trade talks over weekend could rock USD

  • US CPI + data dump + Powell Speech = more USD volatility?

  • US CPI sparked moves of ↑ 0.4% & ↓ 1.0% over past year

  • Technical levels: 102.20, 100.00 & 99.20

trade war China Trump Fed Chair Jerome Powell CPI

Market round-up: UK-US Trade Deal, BoE vote split, Bitcoin surpasses $100k

  • UK-US trade deal sparks risk-on mood

  • BoE vote split catches markets off guard 

  • Bitcoin surges past $100,000, ↑ 7% MTD

  • USDInd breaks above 100.00, Gold tumbles to $3300

trade war Trump Bitcoin USD Stocks

Can Fed rate decision extend US stocks' rebound?

  • Fed widely expected to leave US rates unchanged
     
  • Markets fully anticipate next Fed rate cut in July; 1-in-3 chance of June cut
     
  • Hints of earlier-than-expected rate cut could send US stock indices soaring
     
  • Risk assets may pare recent gains if Chair Powell pushes back on rate cuts
     
  • See below for past and projected post-Fed reactions for US500, NAS100, US30

 

Federal Reserve FOMC indices Stocks Tariffs inflation US500 NAS100 Dow Jones index US30

Week Ahead: Crude caught in crosswinds ahead of OPEC+ showdown

  • Crude ends April ↓ 18.6%

  • OPEC+ expected to sign off another supply hike 

  • Positive US-China trade may support oil bulls 

  • Fed decision sparked moves of ↑ 0.4% & ↓ 0.9% over past year

  • Technical levels: $65, $60 & $55

Crude Oil OPEC+ Federal Reserve China trade war Week Ahead
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